2025-26 Self Scout

The keys, stacked

At least two keys: 14–2 (88%). One or none: 4–10 (29%). That is the number to coach to — “hit at least two” rests on 16 games, “hit all three” on 4.

Rows drawn faintly rest on fewer than six games. Trust the shape of the ladder, not any single rung.

Each key on its own

Read the free-throw key carefully. Teams that lead late get fouled on purpose, so some of that swing is the win producing the stat rather than the other way round. It looks like the strongest key and is the most contaminated one. Offensive rebounds allowed is the cleanest of the three.

What separates a win from a loss

Each factor’s correlation with point margin, and its average in wins against its average in losses.

Defending our own glass tracks winning about as closely as shooting does. Crashing theirs barely registers. That is the evidence behind sending four back and one to the glass by default.

Against the shot standards

Every zone measured against the bar the standards set: 1.10 points per shot. Size is how often we shoot there. Not measured against our own average — the standard does not move.

Tiers one to three need charted film. Whether a three came after a paint touch, and whether it was a catch-and-shoot, are possession facts — no Hudl report carries them. They fill in as games are charted. Tier four is below, and works today.

2 of 8 zones clear 1.10, and they take 21% of our shots.

Mastery shots — tier four

Only these 4 players were charted, so only they can earn or miss a green light here. Nobody else is being judged and found wanting — there is simply no shot data for them.

• Braden White31 GP · 722 min
• Brooks Brown24 GP · 345 min
• Brooks Caudill31 GP · 260 min
• Beckett Williams28 GP · 166 min

Earned. Green whenever it is there.

• Braden White · Paint11 of 15 · 1.43 adjusted
• Braden White · L Corner8 of 15 · 1.38 adjusted

Shooting well enough, not yet enough attempts.

• Brooks Caudill · R Corner4 of 8 · 1.20 adjusted
• Brooks Brown · L Corner4 of 11 · 1.10 adjusted

This is not the whole team. The chart covers 4 players and 20% of the season’s shots (272 of 1337). Read it as those players, not as us.

By quarter

Shooting swings from 43.7% in the 3rd to 56.0% in the 4th. That gap is a practice problem, not a talent one.

The free-throw factor climbing late is the deliberate fouling showing up in the data, which is the same effect that inflates key 1.

Why this says 32 and the rest of the page says 30. Hudl totals the period report on its own side, over every row in the export — and it shipped 2 games twice. The per-game tables above drop the duplicates; this one cannot, because the file holds no per-game rows to drop. The percentages are sound, the game count is Hudl’s.

Game by game

A dot means that key was never charted for that game. It is not a miss.